Daily Archives: September 13, 2012

Flash Point: Saudi Oil As Seen By Strafor

In Flash Point: The Implications of the End of Saudi Oil, we discussed a projection that Saudi Arabia would become a net importer around 2022 with severe social and geopolitical stresses emerging well before that point. Stratfor, experts in geopolitics and security issues, has just published Challenges for the Saudi Royal Family: Energy as part of a 3-part series. We review their note in the context of our original post.

Flash Point: The Fed Prints

(hat tip Metanoodle)

From the latest FOMC statement:

FOMC Redline Sept

Key points and our interpretation:

  • The Fed will continue its zero interest rate policy (ZIRP) through mid-2015 at least.
  • The Fed will continue and extend “Operation Twist” to the end of the year. This recycles funds and creates no new money.
  • The Fed will buy $40 billion of MBSs per month with no set end. This would appear to require new money since no source of funding was announced.
  • Principal and interest from existing GSE debt and MBSs are currently reinvested. This practice will continue, recycling funds while creating no new money.
  • Total investment will be $85 billion a month so we expect the Fed’s balance sheet to increase by $40 billion per month of unsterilized financing. We will watch to see where the liability goes on its balance sheet.

When Things Go Bad

When Things Go Bad

September 13, 2012 | 0901 GMT

Stratfor

By Scott Stewart

Over the past several weeks, we have discussed a number of different situations that can present a common problem to people caught up in them. First, we discussed how domestic terrorism remains a persistent threat in the United States, and that despite improvements in security measures since 2001, soft targets still remain vulnerable to attack by terrorist actors driven by a variety of motivations. Due to the devolution of the jihadist threat toward the grassroots, there is also a growing trend of jihadist actors using armed assaults instead of bombing attacks. We also discussed the continuing problem of workplace violence, and finally, we discussed last week evacuation plans for expatriates due to natural disaster, civil unrest or war.

People caught in any of these situations could find themselves either confronted by an armed assailant or actually coming under fire in an active shooter scenario. Of course, there are other situations where people can find themselves confronted by armed assailants, from street muggings and carjackings to bank robberies. Because of this, we thought it might be useful to our readers to discuss such situations and how to react when caught in one.

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