Bits and Pieces – 20190118, Friday – The Standard Model Part I

Commentary

Although I write these blog articles in part to capture links and comments for future reference, in practice I find it difficult to find things for retrieval. There is a theme that has been part of my writing for a while and that is the idea of narratives that dominate our thinking. For myself, if I collect them together, they compose what I have come to call my standard model. I will begin to develop these ideas under the topic “Musings” and will tag the progression of my thinking in the blog article title starting with this one.

NATO

The struggle for relevance goes on: Worse Than Obsolete: NATO Creates Enemies unless one suddenly arrives at the point that this is the relevance of NATO – mercenaries for hire.

The US

We have been confronted with the meme that Russia interfered in the 2016 US election, an allegation unproven to date. That at the same time, the Democratic party and the DNC intervened widely to try and get Hillary elected is well documented and ignored by the MSM. For the sake of balance in the intervention and meddling controversy consider: How the US Spent Billions to Change the Outcome of Elections Around the World: A Review.

Trump has made a huge impact on the judicial system with the appointment of 90 federal judges including 2 to the Supreme Court. He should get one more Supreme Court nominee in his term because: Ruth Bader Ginsburg has Contracted Pneumonia as well as cancer and at 86 is quite ill. She’s a Liberal so the Democrats may stuff her to keep her on the court. We’ll see.

The new circus in town is the House Fiance Committee chaired by the brilliant Maxine Waters  and with the appointment of rookie Ocasio-tax-the-rich-Cortez: Ocasio-Cortez Gets Seat on House Financial Services Committee Overseeing Wall Street. Hopefully she ignores Whoopi: Whoopi Goldberg Has Some Advice for Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez: ‘Sit Still and Learn the Job’.

 

Next is a long video (1:40 minutes) that I could not put aside. It explains the recent history of the Mid East , particularly in light of US foreign policy:

Here is Part 2:

Canada

The hangover from the following will overhang the Canadian economy for 2019 and well belong. The Clown Prince is doing his part, helping you move further into debt: Canadian Household Debt-to-Income Ratio Near Record High.

Meanwhile the Huawei affair grows: Thirteen Canadians have been detained in China since Huawei executive’s arrest, says Ottawa.

Global Threats

Here is Geopolitical Futures 2019 forecast: The World in 2019: A Year on the Edge.

Socialism and the Left

If you are a white progressive, you have a big problem in 2019. The problem is the identity that simplifies a progressive’s life so he/she/it doesn’t have to think: white = racist. Read: California Women’s March Cancelled For Being “Overwhelmingly White”. Life is so hard for the modern progressive. While you’re at it, square this circle: Antifa Exposed: “Angry White People With Money”. An interesting point is the identification of these people in their behaviour and not their ideology.

Economic Issues

Would these guys please shut up! Recall that a couple of weeks ago, treasury secretary Steve Mneuchin announced out of the blue (Steve Mnuchin Is a Dunce) that he had asked the 6 big banks if they had adequate liquidity. Remembering that the Lehman crisis of 2008 was one of the lack of liquidity among the major banks and that the financial system was minutes away from total collapse before the Fed intervened. So on hearing Mneuchin’s reassurance, traders did not even stop to change their underwear but ran for the exits. After falling a few hundred points, the Dow took a breather, the plunge protection team intervened and the world didn’t end.

Next, anther official pulled the same rabbit out of the hat: Stocks Slide After OCC Unexpectedly Says US Banks “Well Positioned” For Crisis. The market blinked but recovered. Still when multiple government officials rush to reassure you that all is well when you weren’t even thinking that things were unwell, it’s time to dig a foxhole. A day later we get another reassurance: Stocks Slide After FDIC Reassures That Banks Are “Superbly Capitalized”.

Finally, if you are interested in precious metals, the following study says that nowis the time to buy siver which statistically should rise into early April: The Strongest Season For Silver Has Only Just Begun.

Climate

Here’s a new site that collects data on the earth’s magnetic field and pole movement: MagneticReversal.org. Here’s another for the Rutgers Global Snow Lab that monitors snow cover.

Anthropogenic Global Warming (AGW)

Sorry folks but the science is finally settled and CO2 is such a minor component of global temperature change that it may be ignored. Instead it’s cloud cover and water evaporation effects which in turn are caused by the sun, that control the climate: Major feedback factors and effects of the cloud cover and the relative humidity on the climate. Abstract (emphasis added):

In this paper we derive a new formula for the global temperature change and major feedback portions in the climate response. In our earlier paper we calculated from the experimental values the sensitivity about 0.058 K/(W/m2). This means the negative feedback which reduced the sensitivity by factor 2.13. In this paper we explain and derive the major portions in the feedback coefficient using the observed energy budget at the top of the climate and on the surface of the earth. The results also support strongly our earlier results of the low climate sensitivity (?T2CO2?0.24?C). The major portions in the negative feedback coefficient in shortwave insolation are roughly clouds 63%, evaporation cooling 28%, and water vapour 9%. The new sensitivity is 0.0605 K/(W/m2) which is reduced by factor 2.00. The changes in cloud cover or in the relative humidity explain almost all the global temperature changes. The result is confirmed with experimental observations. On the other hand, the sun and the change in the vegetation are probably controlling most of the changes in cloudiness and humidity.

Bits and Pieces

Recall the downing of MH17 over Eastern Ukraine a couple of years ago. Non-MSM sources had reported that air traffic controllers in the Ukraine had directed aircraft over an active combat zone. Further, it was reported that the Ukraine air force was using them for cover. Here is an exhaustive overview of the incident: MH17 Turnabout: Ukraine’s Guilt Now Proven.

Musings

For me, the term narrative has come to mean a story or doctrine that is held without active consideration of its validity. By validity I mean the accuracy with which it describes some aspect of the real world or the world as we perceive it. This latter term probably invites an entire book examining what it means and I’m sure whole libraries exist on the topic. Indeed the frontier of physics is preoccupied with this in part. So I’ll avoid this rabbit hole.

Narratives that I am considering are those that frame (my) daily life. Narratives are vital to our existence. They contain the summary knowledge and belief of our cognitive existence. They are active place holders for our daily understanding of our world. An example of a narrative is “democracy is the best form of government”. Of course you probably believe this – and I need to discuss belief versus knowledge soon. But today I want to capture the notion of a standard model and the problems that I am having with mine.

Our standard model is the sum of all our narratives. Your standard model and mine are likely identical or at least very close at the core. We all accept that an apple released from the hand will fall downwards. Where our models differ and perhaps stand in diametric opposition I will define as their edges.

Our education provides us with a large number of narratives. In particular, each of the sciences has its own narratives. Newtonian physic is a narrative that most people accept – the idea of gravity and that apples only fall downward and never upward. Einstein refined this model with his general theory of relativity and its depiction of gravity as a property of the space-time continuum. Yet the notion of gravity and how to describe it in a modern physical model is at the cutting edge of research with a number of diverse proposals for how to revise our narrative to be congruent with our current knowledge. This of course is happening at esoteric places like the Perimeter Institute but for most of us it is sufficient to know that apples always fall downward.

Still, the standard model of physics does not allow for effective interstellar travel since it does not allow for travel faster than the speed of light or even close to the speed of light. The Large Hadron Collider at CERN is a massive device that accelerates atomic particles to as close to the speed of light that we have been able to achieve. This is somewhat short of a spacecraft. So space aliens and UFOs are largely outside of our standard model. Yet sightings continue and I have in the past, reported on one.

I tend to pay attention to people who are capable of critical thinking – which automatically discounts almost the entire progressive movement – and have demonstrated the ability to analyze a situation and arrive at a reasonable (in the true meaning of the term) conclusion.. One such person is Catherine Austin Fitts, an economist with a good bio. In a recent interview which I can’t identify now, she referenced spacecraft at the rings of Saturn. This is outside my standard model but when a person whom I respect states this, I pay attention. A quick dig reveals that it is very much inside her standard model: Catherine Austin Fitts… a third report of ET Space Station near Saturn. I had some months ago, reported a UFO siting by US Navy pilots and I have held an interest in UFOs from my teenage years when I was a member of BUFOA around 1960. However, I have remained agnostic an uninvolved in the field since that time. Maybe its time to revise my standard model in this direction.

Archeology has its standard models also. In particular, the Egyptian period and its architecture is well defined. I have become aware of a large number of YouTube videos that are passed my way by the algos, on anomalous archeological discoveries. In particular, alternate theories about the pyramids, all of which I had ignored. I did watch a recent video however, that nibbled at the fringe of the standard model to an extent that to ignore it would be displaying wilful ignorance. I forgot to record the link but it was disturbing enough – in a good way – to get me thinking about finally documenting the assaults on my standard model. Although I couldn’t find the specific video, I found this one which captures many of the details of the missing one while extending it considerably. It’s long at 1:46 minutes but probably gives you enough to capture a lot of what is available in other videos. You can then decide if you want to pursue the topic further. Keep in mind that your most important tools are critical thinking and common sense, augmented with Occam’s Razor.

Here’s another one:

Lastly, here’s a report by Jake Morphonios of the Blackstone Intelligence channel on YouTube. The phenomenon that he is reporting I’ve seen reported many times but have never before commented on. I consider Jake to be one of the better sources for in depth reporting on topics because he does his homework. I would characterize his reporting as being at the edge of the standard model but not detached from it whereas space aliens I would characterize as being detached. Here’s his video (10:49 minutes). The event at 3:28 is interesting in the way it sets off car alarms: Why Are Mysterious Trumpet Sounds in the Sky Increasing? Unfortunately, YouTube embed facility was not available for this video.

Now that I have this new topic, I will add to it as events impinge on my model.

End Notes

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