Commentary: I had a discussion today with my friend Paul Merkley, continuing the theme of anarchism that he explores in his most recent essay, published here yesterday and linked below.
I have recently considered the trite allegory of the straw that broke the camel’s back. It is used by linear deterministic thinkers to argue that a specific act is “the last straw”, the causal factor of some ensuing major event. It entirely misses the point that in natural systems, it is the state of the system and not the singular act that is important.
In some states of a forest I can drop a lighted match and nothing happens other than that the match burns itself out. When the forest is in another state, however, that match causes a forest fire. It is interesting to know that the frequency of forest fires of a particular size follows a mathematical relationship known as a power law. All natural systems follow their own power laws. Anarchy, the expression of a segment of our society – a natural system – would be expected to obey its own power law.
It is the buildup of fuel on the forest floor that determines the size and severity of a forest fire. We have been witnessing a buildup of violent, intolerant dissent coming from the progressive left of our society. The frequency of mini-fires of this nature: French Protesters Set Car On Fire During Ongoing Anti-Police Protests: Live Feed, seems to be increasing. Unlike small forest fires that reduce the overall fuel load in a forest and reduce the likelihood of a major blaze, these protests and expressions of anarchy actually may be increasing the underlying rebelliousness, increasing the likelihood of a major conflict.
We can’t know when or even how it will occur but the risk is increasing and one might begin to think of preparation to survive a major event.
Civil Unrest: I have recently provide a link to Steve Bannon’s comment that war both with China and in the Mideast (Iran) would likely occur in the next 5-10 years because China and Islam are expansionist. A friend sent me this link that extends such speculation to include Russia in Eastern Europe: Revolution is not only inevitable, it’s necessary: How Steve Bannon’s dark vision could shape the world. The article references the work of Howe and Strauss in “The Fourth Turning” as well as the generational cycle theory work of David Kaiser. What I didn’t say in the commentary above is that it is the build up of energy (in whatever form) in a system that leads to instability I am just now beginning to think about the question “in what form is the energy that is building in the revolutionary progressive constituency?”
The War on Cash: I recently said I was going to begin coverage of this topic. It has been under discussion in the blogosphere for a couple of years or more. The objective is total state control over your money and spending: Cash No Longer King: Europe Accelerates Move To Begin Elimination Of Paper Money.
WWIII: Note to Premier Xi. Here’s the carrot, Trump commits to “One China” policy in phone call to Chinese Premier Xi, and here’s the big stick: Air-Force Test-Launches Minuteman ICBM From California. Are the Marshall Islands anywhere near you? And are you watching Iran: Iran Launches Another Ballistic Missile? Also on this topic today: Unprecedented Moves Towards War With China Would “Upend Supply Routes, Trigger Global Recession”.
A chaotic US foreign policy emerging under Trump is discussed here: From New World Order To Hazy Global Disorder. Given the contradictions and inconsistencies in foreign policy statements and Trump’s constant shifting of gears, Russia, China, and Iran must prepare for war. Reading the tea leaves isn’t much help when the tea is brewed with muddy water.
Climate: Martin Armstrong has been reporting regularly on extreme cold this winter in parts of the northern hemisphere. He maintains we are heading into a periodic mini-iceage: Extreme Cold Hitting Europe Creating Food Shortages & Rationing. He also reports on the controversial paper from NOAA that Obama used to support the US adoption of the Paris treaty: Trump Should Launch a Criminal Investigation of the NOAA – NOW! (read under Climate in Bits and Pieces – 20170207, Tuesday and Bits and Pieces – 20170204, Saturday.).
Bits and Pieces: Our friend, Paul Merkley, has just published a new essay: ANARCHISM IS THE NEW PROGRESSIVISM.
Finally, here’s an interview with Jim Rogers: Jim Rogers: “We’re About To Have The Worst Economic Problems Of A Lifetime, A Lot Of People Will Disappear”. Apart from Kyle Bass, he’s the only person that i will always listen to what he has to say.