Tag Archives: chemical weapon

Bits and Pieces – 20180910, Monday

Commentary

I would argue that mankind has always progressed through technological innovation from the production of stone tools and the control of fire, through the metallurgical discoveries giving us iron, steel and other metals that enabled the industrial revolution, to modern digital technology. The arts grew alongside the technology but as an economic adjunct enabled by the wealth and leisure it produced. Similarly, the affluence that spawned the modern welfare state is a benefit of technological progress.

I read John Mauldin’s latest letter on the rise of China. Part 1 of 3 promised parts, it creates a sense of optimism in China’s future through technology. Here’s the article: China’s Command Innovation.

Mauldin is a technology-based optimist. His projection is too linear and insular for my comfort, however. The technological advances he sees coming are logically predictable as a linear projection of current progress.

However, the ascendancy of China is anathema to the American Empire. One can see the rhetoric and military expansion that the US is using to try and contain China. The same containment used against Japan resulting in WWII, when used against China, will result in WWIII.

This will set back all areas  of technological development except perhaps military ones. A nuclear exchange may make the setback permanent.

A visit to a local museum had a large display of stone artifacts used by the local neolithic nomads. There were rounded rocks that had been used as primitive tools, but the largest part of the collection by far were the arrow heads which showed rather sophisticated manufacture. The principal use of iron and the development of blacksmithing started with the manufacture of iron knives and swords.

Apart from war, the arrival of the next Grand Solar Minimum is another factor that, based on historical precedence as described by Martin Armstrong in the section “Climate” below, will be a powerful disrupting force. It has brought down entire dynasties and civilizations in the past.

My thoughts about Mauldin’s optimism – he is one of the best free sources of economic thought out there – have been with me for a long time. China’s economic ascendancy he sees as a source of optimism about our future. But what really hit home to me today was how much in contrast, the West is in decline. Read the article. Now think about a future where the Chinese are producing STEM (science, technology, engineering, and math) graduates, the basis for wealth generation in a technological future while we are producing graduates in the arts, particularly social sciences like gender studies.

***

The MSM and the AGW alarmist are using the extremes in weather as an alleged proof of the global warming hypothesis. They report record heat and record drought events while failing to report any of the thousands of record cold and record snowfall events that were occurring throughout the late winter and spring of this year.

The current heat and drought in Europe are not unusual as revealed by the appearance of “hunger stones”. I’ve seen a couple of references to this but Martin Armstrong has a good discussion around the topic: The Hunger Stones Have Appeared. Such stones have appeared in several rivers to which you should be able to find references if interested. I wonder if they will add 2018 to the rocks.

Bits and Pieces – 20180825, Saturday

Commentary

Assad is close to recovering all of the western province of Idlib from jihadist forces sponsored by western interests including the CIA. This is against US interests – or at least the interests of the neocons and energy interests (it’s all about pipelines in Syria).

In past, when rebel forces were being routed they used false flag chemical attacks to motivate the West to intervene against government forces and Assad in particular.

The US has set the stage for the next Western intervention via a false flag attack. John Bolton has advised the public of the coming US intervention: Bolton told Russia the US will hit Syria if Assad uses chemical weapons: report. Russia has warned that such an attack is coming: Russia Warns Staged “Chemical Provocation” Coming In Syria After Bolton Cites New Intel.

Bits and Pieces – 20180415, Sunday

Commentary

Trump got to fire his missiles and save face: Trump Orders Military Strikes On Syria: 3 Waves Of Airstrikes Launched. The generals got to brag: “We Successfully Hit Every Target”: Highlights From Pentagon Press Briefing On Syria Airstrikes, minor possible technicalities aside: Syria Claims It Intercepted 71 Out Of 103 Cruise Missiles; Pentagon Denies.

Apparently the three targets were largely abandoned anyway so no Russians or Iranians were killed although the Israelis decided to take out a few Iranians on their own: 20 Dead After Israeli Warplanes Reportedly Attack Iranian Military Base In Syria. Inquiring minds might wonder if bombing a chemical weapon storage facility is wise unless no weapons are present.

As for the Donald, he’s a showman and a true politician judging by the number of times he reverses himself: “These ‘Freedom Fighters’ Fly Planes Into Our Buildings” – A List Of All The Times Trump Warned Against Attacking Syria.

Bits and Pieces – 20180413, Friday

Commentary

Our focus remains on Syria. While Trump has taken a step back, assets are still being assembled: A Second US Tomahawk-Capable Destroyer Enters The Mediterranean. As the article notes the US won’t have the USS Harry Truman carrier strike group in place until April 22, and the military would not want to launch an attack with such high risk without all their pieces on the board. We expect the rhetoric to continue.

The wild card is Trump. How can he back down? The longer he waits, the greater the risk that an independent investigation may be able to be conducted that might exonerate Assad.

Bits and Pieces – 20180411, Wednesday

Commentary

In a recent unreleased Bits and Pieces, I started to formulate a reorganization of the format to help focus my thinking in several areas. This post has the preliminary format.

Some years ago I formulated the position that the two great threats to civilization – our society, culture, politics and geopolitics – where socialism and Islamism. I would now add a third – globalization or globalism. Interestingly, Bits and Pieces has never had categories for these movements. While this fact invites more thought on my part as to why, the topics that have emerged are the ones that I see as having more direct impact on daily life. Right now, war is the dominant one, in all its manifestations. To this end, this inaugural post retains all the category and sub-category headings. Future posts will not show empty topics.

Bits and Pieces – 20170409, Sunday

Commentary: I go away for three days and they start the war without me. I’ve reformulated this short piece several times as I read more and more. Buried in the links below is a reference to the previous chemical attack that Obama chose not to respond to for lack of evidence of the source.

Here are a few links of many that show what arguments thinking people (the MSM exclude themselves almost by definition) are pondering: Ex-UK Ambassador To Syria Questions Chemical Attack; “It Doesn’t Make Sense, Assad Is Not Mad”. Also this: CNN Anchor Speechless After Congressman Questions Syria Chemical Attack Narrative and this: Ron Paul: “Zero Chance” Assad Behind Chemical Weapons Attack In Syria; Likely A False Flag, and this from Howard Kunstler answering the key question: “Why?”: Bombs Away! Scott Adams also had similar thoughts.

Mike Shedlock polled his readers on for possible sources of the attack: Syria Whodunit and Brainwashed Puppets: Readers Respond on Most Likely and Least Likely Perpetrators. Two thirds believe some actor other than the Syrian government is the perpetrator. A false flag attack engineered by the Saudis or another Gulf state is the most likely as was the case last time

In other words, a false flag chemical attack to draw Trump in. He’s certainly being managed well by the Deep State. And some context: Syrian Warplanes From US-Hit Air Base Said To Resume Air Strikes. But Trump does have his supporters for this: ISIS, Al-Qaeda Praise Trump’s Attack. Also, he received praise from most of his opponents including CNN. That they haven’t even put their knives away will be noticed soon enough. The cost has been loss of his support base.

For a different perspective on Trump’s action, listen to this 24 minute interview: Larry Lindsey – What The World Is Now Witnessing Is Unprecedented. When Trump states that the action is to protect the national interest, if you are trying to figure out what those interests are, it has been long established that the primary interest is in pipelines that must cross Syria: Syria – Pipeline – How The Press Will Not Tell the Truth about Syria. Also see the discussion of pipelines under the WWII section below. The idea that the US is waging war on Syria to remove a brutal dictator is a load of crap served up for the media and the public. There is no shortage of brutal dictators, past and present, that they could remove but choose not to. Nor do they hesitate to support and even create repressive regimes that serve American “national interest”.

And a couple more discussing the wider significance of the attack on Syria: Luring Trump into Mideast Wars and The Media’s Missing the Point: Syria, Empire and the Power of Signaling. The latter article by Charles Hugh-Smith suggests that a much deeper strategy of “signalling” is in play, one that seems unlikely to be Trump’s.

Syria: Keeping the Debate Honest

The report of the UN Mission to Investigate Allegations of the Use of Chemical Weapons in the Syrian Arab Republic has been out now for a few days. The report concludes:

  • That chemical weapons have been used … on a relatively large scale. Based on the small number of samples taken, not all of which tested positive for a CW agent, and the small number of sites – five – an assessment of “large scale” is unwarranted let alone supported in any way.
  • It also identifies the agent used – sarin – and the delivery system 140mm and 330mm rockets. It further says that trajectories for two of the five examined sights are calculable. We will show this is in fact not possible.

It does not attempt to assign blame for the attacks (up to five munitions were involved). However, the US, Great  Britain and France immediately claimed the report indicates the regime carried out the attacks. In fact it does no such thing. We have given the report a cursory read, and have read several sections many times to extract precise detail and nuance. Our read and comments from others (included at the end) suggest a more thoughtful analysis is required.

Something Is Bothering Us …

In discussions with friends, one of the points we have been making very clearly for the last week is that although there is widespread belief that Assad used chemical weapons, no sources that we have read and no persons we have talked to have been able to show any knowledge of such an assertion. ABC News sums it up very nicely in the article: Doubts Linger Over Syria Gas Attack Responsibility. Emphasis is ours.

The U.S. government insists it has the intelligence to prove it, but the public has yet to see a single piece of concrete evidence produced by U.S. intelligence — no satellite imagery, no transcripts of Syrian military communications — connecting the government of President Bashar Assad to the alleged chemical weapons attack last month that killed hundreds of people.

One specific issue in particular is the 3-day preparation for the attack based on satelite imagery. As the ABC article states:

The Obama administration … says its own assessment is based mainly on satellite and signals intelligence, including intercepted communications and satellite images indicating that in the three days prior to the attack that the regime was preparing to use poisonous gas.

We have no doubt that US satellite imagery is top notch. What bothers us is contained in these questions:

  • What preparations are the US talking about? This is an urban battlefield. Chemical agents are delivered by rocket, mortar or artillery shell. It doesn’t take long to set these things up.
  • Why does it take 3 days to prepare to fire a rocket or an artillery shell?
  • How do you tell what the munition is? How do you distinguish that a munition is chemical and not high explosive?
  • The reported time of the attack was at 0245 (local time) in Ein Tarma and again at 0247 in Zamalka (source: BBC). What kind of satellite imagery would exist at this time of day? Presumably they might have infra red but that isn’t going to reveal much detail.
  • And on the last point, why would you launch a chemical attack in the middle of the night when everyone is indoors sleeping instead of when they are going to work or at noon when everyone is breaking for lunch?

In short:

Both Sides Now

Today, the Senate Foreign relations Committee essentially drafted a declaration of war against Syria. The text is here: http://blogs.wsj.com/washwire/2013/09/03/full-text-senate-foreign-relations-committee-resolution-on-syria/.The slogan “where’s the beef” should be liberally applied when reading it.

Ever since August 21st’s chemical weapon incident, Obama and his administration have been building a posture for starting the war. You may recall that in the first days, the justification for preparing an attack was a simply a claim of confidence in some intelligence report that appears to have originated with an Israel intelligence unit’s intercept of a communication between a local commander and a shocked superior asking what happened. This of course has been embroidered into a vast array of other supporting sources and claims not a single one of which has been revealed in any detail whatsoever. Obama and his teleprompter have given no other proof other than a ‘we know – trust us’.

Powered by WordPress | Designed by: photography charlottesville va | Thanks to ppc software, penny auction and larry goins