Tag Archives: climate

Bits and Pieces – 20171020, Friday

 

Commentary: After publishing my last commentary, Bits and Pieces – 20171013, Friday, I came across this video by Gordon T. Long: UnderTheLens – 09 21 17 – OCTOBER – Coming “Nationalization” of Markets. It subsumes my comments with the exception of the scenario of how the Fed might take over the US stock market. In the 26 minutes, he does a much more thorough job of documenting how central banks globally are the dominant players in many capital markets such as sovereign bonds, and are rapidly becoming the dominant players in stock markets.

In the case of stocks, where their “printed money” has gone is a puzzle. If they print a billion dollars and buy a billion worth of equities in the market, the money goes into the accounts of the sellers. What do the sellers do with it? Do they use it to ‘walk the market higher’ isolating the new money in the market or do they take it out and move it into the economy causing inflationary pressures?

Already, in some sovereign bond markets, there is a liquidity problem, Investment funds and pension funds have traditionally used sovereign bonds as a a stable, low-risk component of their portfolios. These institutions are finding that they can’t get the bonds they require because the governments are mopping them up. The other problem is that these are not free markets and proper risk and price discovery simply can’t happen. Given the global history of sovereign defaults, particularly by the top economies, a zero interest or negative rate sovereign bond is simply not pricing in the real, if small, risk of a sovereign default. With central bank taking over ownership in these markets the risk of default is rising because so far, current monetary policy is proving to be a one way street.

Bits and Pieces – 20170924, Sunday

Commentary: A favourite theme, the impermanence of democracy, is discussed in this article: The Sandcastle. We are near the end for this cycle.

Bits and Pieces – 20170901, Friday

Commentary: As food for thought, consider: Two New Totalitarian Movements: Radical Islam and Political Correctness. The former idea is not new new to readers of this blog but the latter may be. Rather it is a popular manifestation of totalitarian thought and practice in the West.

Civil Unrest: An Intimate History of Antifa. Also others are commenting on the rise of violence in division: The Rising Trend of Civil Unrest and Threats of political violence rise in polarized Trump era. Martin Armstron also comments: Extreme Left & Extreme Right Believe in the Same Thing – Oppress all Opposition. Finally, you won’t hear about this on the CBC: FBI, DHS Officially Classify Antifa Activities As “Domestic Terrorist Violence”.

Martin Armstrong identifies an aspect of the civil war in the US at the political level when he notes that Trump has been under continuous attack since he became president: Trying to Force Trump to Resign.

Bits and Pieces – 20170810, Thursday

Commentary: Martin Armstrong’s computer model has picked Aug. 12-13 and Sept. 11-12 as two key dates when a Korean conflict may begin: North Korea – Beware August 2017. That makes this weekend critical. There is more below that shows the growing tensions. George Friedman thinks there will be war but offers his thinking on NK behaviour: North Korea, Nukes and Negotiations. Finally … US “Confirms” N.Korea Has ICBM-Ready Nuclear Warheads, North Korea Responds To Trump Threat, Says It Is “Seriously Considering” Pre-Emptive Nuclear Strike On Guam, and Trump Threatens North Korea With “Fire And Fury Like The World Has Never Seen Before”. Which side makes the first move?

Some folks are beginning to look at the cost of a war with NK. Since the extent of the destruction cannot be known in advance, one can identify impacts while not being able to estimate them accurately. Read: How A Renewed Korean Conflict Is Going To Be Felt Around The Globe and “Under Any Analysis, It’s Insanity”: What War With North Korea Could Look Like.

Late comentary provides insight into one of the preferreed options: Pentagon Unveils Plan For “Pre-Emptive Strike” On North Korea. Most parties agree the a negotiated settlement would be the preferred option of them all.

I thought summer was supposed to be the quiet time when everyone went to the beach. The fall should be a doozy.

Bits and Pieces – 20170715, Saturday

Cyber Warfare: Maybe it wasn’t the Russians: New Research Shows Guccifer 2.0 Files Were Copied Locally – DNC Not “Hacked By Russians” and New Evidence Says DNC Hack an Inside Job, Not Russia Related.

WWIII: Turkey’s realignment continues: Turkey “Turns Away” From NATO, Buys Russian Advanced Missile System For $2.5 Billion. They still seem to be playing both sides. This article follows along the path of the ides that thew US was one of the initial proponents and supporters of the EU: Unite and Rule: EU As NATO’s Auxiliary Economic Alliance.

The American Empire (AE): All the more reason for the AE to install a puppet that they can control, in Damascus: The New Silk Road Will Go Through Syria.

Climate: Climate alarmists need not worry their pretty little heads: Nature Unbound IV – The 2400-year Bray cycle. Part A.

Worth a read although many of you already know this: Research Team Slams Global Warming Data In New Report: “Not Reality… Totally Inconsistent With Credible Temperature Data”.

Canada Corner: I see no way to correct this other than a broad reset: “Canada Is In Serious Trouble” Again, And This Time It’s For Real. Sorry to take away Justin’s punch bowl but: IMF Rings The Alarm On Canada’s Economy.

The only contexts that the following makes any sense is in terms of Islamic appeasement and extreme progressive posturing: Canada’s Multi-Million-Dollar Pay-Out To A ‘Foreign Terrorist Fighter’.

Bits and Pieces: A masterful player, knowing that he has the Europeans by the balls, squeezes again: France Agrees to Pay All Costs for Turkey to Sign Paris Climate Accord.

Here’s a question for you, if Catalonia votes successfully to succeed and a new civil war erupts, will the Luftwaffe intervene as it did in the last Spanish civil war: Catalonia to Move to Referendum October 1st to Break From Spain?

Trump continues to have problem with loyalists from the Obama administration embedded in the bureaucracy. It takes time to find and sack the thousands of people involved: Exclusive: DOJ let Russian lawyer into US before she met with Trump.

Keep in mind that these are the early days of the development of software of this nature: New Software Fakes Video Of Former US President Barack Obama. With Photoshop we gained the ability to manipulate still images to create new images that are indistinguishable from reality. Now we can no longer be assure that a video we see is a real image scenario. When voice synthesis reaches the same level we wil be t the point where all news must be treated as fake news – synthesized propaganda. Note to all governments: we are almost there.

Here’s an interesting note on the silence of the UN on human rights abuses in Venezuela. It lines up with a similar silence by Pope Francis which I have commented on in the past. The article also makes a connection with Agenda 21: Is This Why The UN Human Rights Council Is Silent As Venezuelans Die Oppressed Under Socialism?. Weaving into this theme is the following of which I’m confused. I thought that this brand of geopolitics was what our communist pope supports: Vatican Press Lashes Out At Catholic Trump Voters, Calls Steve Bannon “A Supporter Of Apocalyptic Geopolitics”.

Bits and Pieces – 20170610 – Saturday

Commentary: Trump is right about NATO: the Europeans, particularly the Germans have been riding on Uncle Sam’s coattails. Britain and Russia have one thing in common, their major wars over the last 2 or 3 hundred years have been with the French and the Germans. Merkel’s EU has been playing hardball over Brexit. Britain should form closer ties with Russia and leave NATO since their adversary is the EU, meaning France and Germany.

Here’s an interesting prediction. I follow the site King World News. Reading past Eric Kings habit of being stuck in the superlative mode of everything, he interviews a few people that I consider reliable. One is Andrew Maguire of whom he published a most recent post on June 9. Maguire states that in exactly 26 days from “today”, a dramatic event will take place in the metals market repricing gold higher. The problem is King doesn’t explicitly state when the interview occurred so “today” remains a bit elusive.

If we use the 9th as “today”, 26 days puts the event on July 5, the day after independence day which falls on a Tuesday. Traditionally, trading falls off during the summer (hence “sell in May and go away”). This year, many traders will also take the Monday off with markets closed on Tuesday. If one wanted to make a move when traders were thin, one might choose the 3rd or the 4th. On the other hand, one might want to schedule a move for the 5th to catch markets as the open and take advantage of the market response on a full trading day. It also might be that the call is bad and nothing happens.

I will bet on a good call although my move a few days before makes things a bit tricky. Here’s the interview: ALERT: Unknown Entity Deletes Portion Of Whistleblower Andrew Maguire’s KWN Audio Interview About A Major Event In 26 Days. If you want to place a bet it should be in by June 30.

Bits and Pieces – 20170606 – Tuesday

Commentary: Home and catching up. Interesting development in the Middle East with: The Shocking Trigger Behind Today’s Gulf Scandal: Qatar Paid Al-Qaeda, Iran $1BN In Hostage Deal. Since Qatar is one of the dominant financiers of terrorism along with Saudi Arabia, will this reduce it to any degree? Also: It’s A “Geopolitical Earthquake”: A Stunned World Responds After Saudi Alliance Cuts All Ties With Qatar. Here’s an analysis of the issues behind this flareup (it’s not terrorism-related): “Forget Terrorism”: The Real Reason Behind The Qatar Crisis Is Natural Gas.

I read two interesting articles today that put me into some exciting thinking. The first is Facebook is Broken, and the second, How to see past your own perspective and find truth. Social media physical networks are defined by the computer science algorithms that are used to build them. The articles point to another class of algorithms that control the content and its dissemination. These algorithms define the social structure of the social media. It is interesting to contemplate that social structure and organization is based on algorithms. What these might have been before the internet is a question that then arises. The role of individual behavior in the algorithms would be a central part to examine (well-defined complex systems).

Bits and Pieces – 20170502, Tuesday

Commentary: I’ve been struggling for a while with the problem of how to organize information. To capture one idea, that of “memes“, I include this short post: The ‘Taxation Is Theft’ Meme Has Officially Gone Mainstream.

The scientific method is simple: a) form a hypothesis; b) survey the literature on the topic, and; c) construct experiments to prove or disprove the hypothesis. At the masters level of graduate work, the object is to complete step “b” – master a subject or topic. At the doctoral level, the object is to complete step “c” after “a” and “b”. This is a very focused and narrow task.
Several times I have believed something to be true, formulated it as a hypothesis and begun to research the topic only to find that the hypothesis is false. But having hypotheses is valuable because they focus inquiry, reading and effort. As we read, we either find supporting evidence to strengthen and deepen our hypotheses or we find dissenting evidence that leads us to the conclusion our hypotheses are wrong.

I would extend the idea of a hypothesis into a larger concept I will call a theme. A theme  is more of a topic of interest than a fixed and limited proposition. As long as it remains open or active, there is a constant evaluation of information relevant to the theme with an assessment of how it affects the current body of knowledge comprising the theme. There is an immense amount of information available to us with a few keystrokes. It becomes important to have themes or other structures to act as filters in two ways.

Bits and Pieces – 20170409, Sunday

Commentary: I go away for three days and they start the war without me. I’ve reformulated this short piece several times as I read more and more. Buried in the links below is a reference to the previous chemical attack that Obama chose not to respond to for lack of evidence of the source.

Here are a few links of many that show what arguments thinking people (the MSM exclude themselves almost by definition) are pondering: Ex-UK Ambassador To Syria Questions Chemical Attack; “It Doesn’t Make Sense, Assad Is Not Mad”. Also this: CNN Anchor Speechless After Congressman Questions Syria Chemical Attack Narrative and this: Ron Paul: “Zero Chance” Assad Behind Chemical Weapons Attack In Syria; Likely A False Flag, and this from Howard Kunstler answering the key question: “Why?”: Bombs Away! Scott Adams also had similar thoughts.

Mike Shedlock polled his readers on for possible sources of the attack: Syria Whodunit and Brainwashed Puppets: Readers Respond on Most Likely and Least Likely Perpetrators. Two thirds believe some actor other than the Syrian government is the perpetrator. A false flag attack engineered by the Saudis or another Gulf state is the most likely as was the case last time

In other words, a false flag chemical attack to draw Trump in. He’s certainly being managed well by the Deep State. And some context: Syrian Warplanes From US-Hit Air Base Said To Resume Air Strikes. But Trump does have his supporters for this: ISIS, Al-Qaeda Praise Trump’s Attack. Also, he received praise from most of his opponents including CNN. That they haven’t even put their knives away will be noticed soon enough. The cost has been loss of his support base.

For a different perspective on Trump’s action, listen to this 24 minute interview: Larry Lindsey – What The World Is Now Witnessing Is Unprecedented. When Trump states that the action is to protect the national interest, if you are trying to figure out what those interests are, it has been long established that the primary interest is in pipelines that must cross Syria: Syria – Pipeline – How The Press Will Not Tell the Truth about Syria. Also see the discussion of pipelines under the WWII section below. The idea that the US is waging war on Syria to remove a brutal dictator is a load of crap served up for the media and the public. There is no shortage of brutal dictators, past and present, that they could remove but choose not to. Nor do they hesitate to support and even create repressive regimes that serve American “national interest”.

And a couple more discussing the wider significance of the attack on Syria: Luring Trump into Mideast Wars and The Media’s Missing the Point: Syria, Empire and the Power of Signaling. The latter article by Charles Hugh-Smith suggests that a much deeper strategy of “signalling” is in play, one that seems unlikely to be Trump’s.

Bits and Pieces – 20170314, Tuesday

Commentary: Last post I presented the idea that the left actively seeks a totalitarian state. Here’s an article that suggests that we may already be there: Welcome to Totalitarian America, President Trump! This idea might marry the narrative of the Deep State with a number of other narratives: the militarization of police forces; the large scale military exercises conducted in American cities in the last few years; the complete control over personal communications by the various branches of the intelligence community (NSA, CIA); the subjugation of the economic interests of the American people to those of Wall Street; and so on.

I had concluded years ago that democracy by its nature, is a phase in a cycle: democracy -> socialism -> totalitarianism ->  revolution -> democracy. The reason is that democracy allows politicians to promise and provide socialist entitlements in return for being elected and retaining self-rewarding (corruption in the extreme) power. As socialist programs pile up creating a socialist democracy, the cost of the socialist programs eventually reaches the point (we are there now – Ontario’s medical system; massive deficits and debt) where they must collapse with widespread civil unrest. This leads to repressive control of the population and suspension of constitutional and civil rights, and the democratic process. At this point the state has become totalitarian leading to the eventual emergence of resistance which for survival becomes increasingly militant and violent. Eventually revolution results. At this point democracy may seem the best option for the future  (we’ll do it right this time).

As a final note, I have an extensive commentary on money that emerged as I wrote this. It would be worth your while to rea and understand some of the issues around an asset that you think you have control over but don’t.

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