Tag Archives: cycle theory

Bits and Pieces – 20170429, Saturday

Commentary: I’ve been traveling so this is a dated collection of stuff.

The Deep State: Here is an interesting essay on the position of the US military/intelligence complex: Trump has lost control over the Pentagon. On the other side of this is the coterie of Goldman Sachs people that Jared Kushner works with. Finally, there is the oligarchy of wealthy families and corporate America that influence the political process through donations and lobbying. The electoral process is simply a sideshow to placate the masses.

Officials in Kiev and western interests such as NATO and the US Deep State wishing to increase tensions with Russia may follow the Syrian gas attack example with a new Ukrainian offensive hoping to draw Trump into the battle: Major Ukrainian Offensive Against the Rebels Coming Up?. Although Russia has interests in Syria, Ukraine is Russia’s doorstep: think Cuban Missile Crisis.

WWIII: Here is an hour-long interview with Jim Rickards who thinks that war is imminent in North Korea: The Gold Chronicles April 2017 — Interview with Jim Rickards and Alex Stanczyk. I had commented on the dispatch of a US WC-135 “radiation sniffer” plane to Japan. Rickards says the US may have to use tactical nukes to take out North Korean facilities and such a plane may be used to map radiation from nuclear strikes. This remains a top story to watch. And to confirm the timeline of Apr. 25 when the USS Carl Vinson arrives: Trump Considering “Kinetic Military Action” On North Korea Including “Sudden Strike”. And to confirm that this is the day to stock up on beer and popcorn: April 25 Is “Highest Probability” Day For North Korean Nuclear Test China Warns.

Finally, North Korea makes the big threat: North Korea Threatens US With “Super-Mighty Preemptive Strike”. Please, not the “super mighty” one. Maybe just the “slightly mighty” one.

Incidentally, if my earlier posts on the movement of the USS Carl Vinson seem a bit off – and the current announced arrival date is later than I had expected but didn’t comment on – there may have been good reason: How Did the Trump Administration Lose an Aircraft Carrier?

Bits and Pieces: Are the Democrats getting it together: Democrats welcome Bernie takeover?

Difficulties at the frontier of empire. After MOAB, this: Hundreds Of U.S. Marines Headed To Afghanistan. And this is after more troops in Syria and Somalia as recently reported.

To think that some snowflakes have gone deep into debt to buy this kind of college education: ASU Prof Allows Students To Protest Trump In Lieu Of Final Exam.

Keep this one in your back pocket: Obama, Comey Relied On Discredited Dossier To Obtain FISA Warrant On Trump Campaign. I am mystified that Trump has not called some grand inquiry to sort out all this stuff including the large number of sources that I have posted links to on various topics  that indicate nefarious activity towards Trump and his associates.

Preppers Corner: I want to capture this link for myself but you may find it useful to develop your own plan B: What’s Your Plan B?

Here’s an excellent article that surveys nuclear weapon capability across the globe. It discusses who has them, how many, who are working to acquire them, who have abandoned plans to build them who who have the capability of acquiring them if they choose: The Geopolitics of Nuclear Weapons.

An update on snowflake education: Wellesley College Student Newspaper Endorses Violence Against Unpopular Speech. It is ironic that Wellesley College is producing a class of individuals by their suppression of free speech and alternative points of view, that their dictates would then apply to. I’m sure they would not recognize this as a legitimate argument however.

Canada Corner: Housing market blues: Crashing Canadian Mortgage Lender Bailed-Out By 321,000 Retired Ontario Healthcare Workers and Canada’s Housing Bubble Explodes As Its Biggest Mortgage Lender Crashes Most In History. And here’s the Ontario budget. And here’s text of a letter to the editotr of the Ottawa Sun:

I was wondering how Kathleen Wynne can eliminate the deficit on one hand and add a host of new spending initiatives on the other. Rather than wade through hundreds of pages of fluff and spin, one can find the answer easily and quickly by going to table 6.26 of the budget. The 2017-2018 budget will increase the total provincial debt by $8.7 billion dollars and the net provincial debt by a cool $10.0 billion dollars.

Now I prefer to use the total debt of $341.1 billion because this is the actual amount that we are paying interest on. The Liberals prefer to the use net debt of $311.9 billion because the number is less big. So let’s use net debt. This means the actual deficit is $10 billion dollars, accounting legerdemain aside.

Martin Armstrong talks a bit about his cycle theory: Kim Jong-un The Kid Whose Father Never Spanked – Why 2017 Is The Crisis Year For Korea.

And for your listening pleasure (it’s had 17 million views):

Bits and Pieces – 20170416 – Sunday

Commentary: Correction: It appears that I used inappropriate terminology when I said that Trump “took the leash off”” of the military. The correct phrase is “the military is given empowerment to do what we need to do” – much more sanitary terminology.

Bits and Pieces – 20170301, Wednesday

The Deep State: The effort to connect Trump with the evil Russians may have problems: Intel Committee Head: No Evidence Of Contact Between Trump Campaign, Russia.

Cycles: Here is some commentary on the debt super-cycle: The 100 Year Debt-Supercycle Is Coming To An End: “Facing Greatest Crisis In Human History”. It sounds apocalyptic. It will be.

Bits and Pieces: This is not good news for Canada in in the short to medium term: Have The Majors Given Up On Canada’s Oil Sands?

Iceland was the first and only country to jail bankers after the 2007-8 financial crisis. Now, Spain has followed suit: Former IMF Chief Sent To Jail As Spain Prosecutes 65 Elite Bankers in Enormous Corruption Scandal.

A couple of articles on the RAAI theme. Here is a robot with amazing agility: Meet Handle: The “Nightmare-Inducing” Robot From Boston Dynamics. I would suggest your best escape is through a rabbit hole or possibly up a long flight of stairs. Also consider: Minimum Wage Massacre: Wendy’s Unleashes 1,000 Robots To Counter Higher Labor Costs.

Martin Armstrong provides commentary on two issues that will emerge to prominence in 2017. The first is that of private pension plans that are essentially broke: Teamsters Local 707 Goes Bankrupt. The second is the US debt and deficit crisis: The Obama-Boehner Debt Crisis.

Bits and Pieces – 20170211, Saturday

Commentary: I had a discussion today with my friend Paul Merkley, continuing the theme of anarchism that he explores in his most recent essay, published here yesterday and linked below.

I have recently considered the trite allegory of the straw that broke the camel’s back. It is used by linear deterministic thinkers to argue that a specific act is “the last straw”, the causal factor of some ensuing major event. It entirely misses the point that in natural systems, it is the state of the system and not the singular act that is important.

In some states of a forest I can drop a lighted match and nothing happens other than that the match burns itself out. When the forest is in another state, however, that match causes a forest fire. It is interesting to know that the frequency of forest fires of a particular size follows a mathematical relationship known as a power law. All natural systems follow their own power laws. Anarchy, the expression of a segment of our society – a natural system – would be expected to obey its own power law.

It is the buildup of fuel on the forest floor that determines the size and severity of a forest fire. We have been witnessing a buildup of violent, intolerant dissent coming from the progressive left of our society. The frequency of mini-fires of this nature: French Protesters Set Car On Fire During Ongoing Anti-Police Protests: Live Feed, seems to be increasing. Unlike small forest fires that reduce the overall fuel load in a forest and reduce the likelihood of a major blaze, these protests and expressions of anarchy actually may be increasing the underlying rebelliousness, increasing the likelihood of a major conflict.

We can’t know when or even how it will occur but the risk is increasing and one might begin to think of preparation to survive a major event.

Bits and Pieces – 20170204, Saturday

Commentary: I am amazed at the extent and the virulence of the hatred for Trump globally. This is an unprecedented phenomenon, at least in my memory. We had it locally (in Canada) with the hatred of Stephen Harper. That same hatred and coming from the same people, has joined a global lynch mob. Which brings me to my third prediction that I made last spring (that Trump will be assassinated. The first was that he would gain the Republican nomination and my second was that he would be elected): Secret Service Is Dealing With Over 12,000 Tweets Calling For Trump’s Assassination. The Deep State may only need to sit back and wait. When have calls for the assassination of a sitting president ever been so widespread: Village Magazine Sparks Furor Asking “Why Not” Assassinate Donald Trump, Will Donald Trump be assassinated, ousted in a coup or just impeached, etc.?

This weekend, a 13-year old friend of my grandson was comparing Trump to Hitler. This kid has no historical knowledge to generate such a belief so it’scoming from adults around him. You may know such people. Here is a short article that explains why such a comparison is not justified in any degree: Putting An End To This Hitler Nonsense….

Cycles: Gordon T. Long and Charles Hugh-Smith discuss cycles and “the great rotation” the point where all the cycles in all aspects of our society reach a peak on an addative basis and head downwards: MACRO ANALYTICS – 01 27 17 – The Great Rotation – w/Charles Hugh. These guys understand our economic and social reality.

Climate: I have just become aware of an admission from the UN as to what the real agenda is behind climate change politics: Global Warming is About Destroying Capitalism?. It is about creating a new world economic order and not “saving” the environment. Many of us have understood this for a long time but it is the first time it has been admitted in public. Here’s a direct reference form the UN: Figueres: First time the world economy is transformed intentionally. Note that this occurred two years ago today (let’s have an anniversary celebration of global Marxism). Another review of the remarks of which there were many at the time: UN’s Top Climate Official: Goal Is To ‘Intentionally Transform the Economic Development Model’.

Bits and Pieces – 20170106, Friday

Commentary: I’ll be taking a break for a week after today while I travel.

Trump: A short read: Threats to Assassinate Trump. The left in all countries, has been traditionally violent. We have been witnessing the violence for months now, in the US. The threat to the presidency and to the Republic is greater from the left than from terrorist activity.

Cyber Warfare: If this doesn’t fly, what will they modify next in their unsupported claim: The “Russian Hacking” Story Changes Again?

WWIII: Escalation: The US Has Begun Amassing Troops On Russian Border.

Russia: When the West criticizes Russia for its imputed actions, what is never observed are the cases where the West has acted in a similar and often more egregious fashion. Pat Buchanan levels the playing field: Can Trump and Putin Avert Cold War II?

Climate: Something to be watched: Global Warming – Opps – Ice Age – Hits Europe. The problem is with the extreme political bias in climate science, we may be well into a mini-ice age before politicians will remove carbon taxes.

Cycle theory: As you know, I am a fan of the theories of cycles. I started posting Bits and Pieces to facilitate capturing the references in a searchable format for later discovery.  One of the prominent cycle theorists or modelers is Martin Armstrong. With that, here’s a later article: Bonds & Climate Change.

Bits and Pieces: Online retailing in perspective:

That gives the scale. This one gives the sense of early automation:

Trump will be successful in re-shoring companies. There will be few jobs to return, however. The old factories are leveled or converted to other uses. The new factories will be highly automated with the latest generation of robots and artificial intelligence systems. A primary driver of re-shoring is the ability of companies to maintain a higher standard of quality control over product inputs.

In contrast are the traditional ‘bricks-and-mortar’ retailers: Macy’s, Kohl’s Crash After Reporting Abysmal Holiday Sales; Cut Guidance; Announce Mass Layoffs, Store Closures and Sears Holdings Posts Another Ugly Loss: Bankruptcy Looms Ahead.

Looking at the global economy, what can possibly go wrong: Global Debt Hits 325% Of World GDP, Rises To Record $217 Trillion?

A warning for Canadians: The Canada Experiment: Is This the World’s First ‘Postnational’ Country? Garbage from The Guardian.

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