Tag Archives: Donald Trump

Bits and Pieces – 20160115, Wednesday

Commentary: It’s always been a matter of timing. We have a fairly good ability to predict where the next “big one” will hit but few ever get the timing right. The collapse of the housing bubble in the US in 2007 was forecast by many. A habdul of people actually got the timing right and were paid handsomely for their effort. Many say that we are in a stock market bubble in the US, in a bond market bubble, that we have a credit market bubble. The EU is fraught with financial fault lines.

Today I came across a short essay by Howard Kunstler: Made For Each Other. In it, he argues that our financial system is the least well-grounded to survive the coming debt ceiling debate in the US and the geopolitical turmoil from elections in the EU this year. Victor Sperandeo forecast 10 days ago in a KWN interview: ALERT: Former Soros Associate Just Warned We Are About To Witness ‘Absolute F*cking Chaos’ Across The Globe, that the EU elections would cause a major crisis in late March or April.

Bits and Pieces – 20170207, Tuesday


Trump: Commentary on the dissention within the ranks of the Deep State: Trump’s Enemies Within. And then there are the enemies without: Is Soros The Source Of Funds Behind The “Muslim Ban” Lawsuits? A small historic event: DeVos Confirmed As Education Secretary After Pence Casts First Ever VP Tiebreaking Vote.

WWIII: A good observation comes from Steve Bannon quoted in: Steve Bannon: ‘We’re going to war in the South China Sea … no doubt’. He pegs Islam and China as the two geopolitical antagonists because they are expansionist in ambition.

“You have an expansionist Islam and you have an expansionist China. Right? They are motivated. They’re arrogant. They’re on the march. And they think the Judeo-Christian west is on the retreat,”

Here’s an insightful review of events in Eastern Europe from the 20th century to date. The dangers of WWIII emerging from the breakup of the EU are real: Eastern Europe & World War III.

Climate: In 2015, a paper came out of NOAA that allegedly debunked the “hiatus” observation in global temperature increse. Here are two references that show that the paper was deeply flawed scientifically and politically motivated to support the Obama administrations support for the Paris agreement: ClimateGate 2 – NOAA Whistleblower Claims World Leaders Fooled By Fake Global Warming Data and Climate scientists versus climate data.

Bits and Pieces: More MSM bias if you’re interested: Why Is the New York Times Lying about Trump? And then this piece from a Fox News interviewer: “But he’s a killer though. Putin’s a killer.” (read Trump Defends “Killer” Putin On National TV: “We’ve Got A Lot Of Killers – You Think Our Country’s So Innocent?”). Well let’s start with Bush and Obama with their foreign wars and particularly their drone policies.

The collapse of Catholicism in Quebec parallels the collapse of the traditional social structure in Canada: Quebec: The Crisis Of The West.

Here’s a historical summary of US currency manipulation: Trump Tower Accord to Replace Plaza Accord?. Note the observation that when the euro destructs, the dollar will soar. Normally gold moves inversely w.r.t. the dollar. In this case it move with the dollar as a safe haven for euro funds.

I save links to articles on robotics and automation (I’m well over 100 and this is passive collecting). To give you an idea where things are at and where they are headed fast, read Amazon Plans Robotic Supermarket Staffed by 3; Chinese Factory Eliminate 90% of Humans, Defects Drop 80%. The world has too many people. The amount of human labour that we have is excessive by far and becoming increasingly more so. This is the argument for stopping all immigration and not accepting more refugees. They are a already a net liability. The article also tells you who Loblaws’ biggest competitor will be in the near future (5-10 years) – Amazon. I don’t see any serious competitor for Amazon – a well-named company.

Facts on US immigration for the anti-Trump crowd: As The Political Spin Continues, Here Are Some Key Facts About Refugees And The U.S.

Bits and Pieces – 20170204, Saturday

Commentary: I am amazed at the extent and the virulence of the hatred for Trump globally. This is an unprecedented phenomenon, at least in my memory. We had it locally (in Canada) with the hatred of Stephen Harper. That same hatred and coming from the same people, has joined a global lynch mob. Which brings me to my third prediction that I made last spring (that Trump will be assassinated. The first was that he would gain the Republican nomination and my second was that he would be elected): Secret Service Is Dealing With Over 12,000 Tweets Calling For Trump’s Assassination. The Deep State may only need to sit back and wait. When have calls for the assassination of a sitting president ever been so widespread: Village Magazine Sparks Furor Asking “Why Not” Assassinate Donald Trump, Will Donald Trump be assassinated, ousted in a coup or just impeached, etc.?

This weekend, a 13-year old friend of my grandson was comparing Trump to Hitler. This kid has no historical knowledge to generate such a belief so it’scoming from adults around him. You may know such people. Here is a short article that explains why such a comparison is not justified in any degree: Putting An End To This Hitler Nonsense….

Cycles: Gordon T. Long and Charles Hugh-Smith discuss cycles and “the great rotation” the point where all the cycles in all aspects of our society reach a peak on an addative basis and head downwards: MACRO ANALYTICS – 01 27 17 – The Great Rotation – w/Charles Hugh. These guys understand our economic and social reality.

Climate: I have just become aware of an admission from the UN as to what the real agenda is behind climate change politics: Global Warming is About Destroying Capitalism?. It is about creating a new world economic order and not “saving” the environment. Many of us have understood this for a long time but it is the first time it has been admitted in public. Here’s a direct reference form the UN: Figueres: First time the world economy is transformed intentionally. Note that this occurred two years ago today (let’s have an anniversary celebration of global Marxism). Another review of the remarks of which there were many at the time: UN’s Top Climate Official: Goal Is To ‘Intentionally Transform the Economic Development Model’.

Bits and Pieces – 20170202, Thursday

Commentary: I am looking for key themes that will have a major impact on our lives. I’m adding one this morning: central banks. Central banks have been controlling our economy since their conception only now they are losing control as all their tools are broken and they are in the process of blowing up the (economic) world.

I have discussed how we are linear thinkers, so to go non-linear, central bank policy and action has to be considered with interest rates, the bond market, currencies, the international flow of funds and trade. They are all part of the same elephant. How I’m going to structure my coverage I’m not sure but here’s a good short article to start with: The Coming Crisis in Central Banking.

To give an idea of the interconnection, read Mike Shedlock’s Is Germany a Currency Manipulator? China? Arguably Yes, Under Bill Obama Signed: Full Blown Currency War on Deck. He outlines a basis for how a currency war and trade war might start with Germany and China.

Bits and Pieces – 20170131, Tuesday

Commentary: I’m pondering how to make my news reading and reporting more effective for myself – it’s currently taking up too much time and retrieving information from my site is not as effective as I had hoped. So look for changes.

In trying to understand the thoughtless position of the left, I came up with the notion of a ‘narrative’. A narrative is a belief system by which we operate. I’m sure this is a concept well explored academically and I may be using a term that I read somewhere. It’s more than an ideology, something which it subsumes. It manifests in behavior such as passive or aggressive. Religion would be a narrative. I’m comfortable with this one because it arguably goes back to the early days of humankind. It is responsible for Stonehenge, burial practices going back at least several thousand years, and more.

Today, Scott Adams discusses two “filters” in his blog post  The Persuasion Filter and Immigration. Apart from being a brilliant analysis of Trump’s behavior and operating strategy, it provides a perspective for the recent “Muslim ban”. What is really interesting is that events are moving so fast that we will likely be able to test Adans’ hypothesis in real time over the next couple of weeks. As a bonus, it gives me things to ponder fro my narative thesis.

Bits and Pieces – 20170128, Saturday

Commentary: Forget the left. Their view of Trump is so warped and limited that it is useful for nothing. If you want some real insight into Trump, listen to this 5 minute interview with Newt Gingrich: Newt Gingrich: Trumpism explained,

Civil Unrest: In Bits and Pieces – 20170117, Tuesday I wrote “The really interesting thought I found is that the next civil war has already begun.” Adding further support to this notion on a tip from a friend  is: America’s Second Civil War.

Trump: Trump appears to be setting up a weekly address to the people. Here is the first: President Trump’s First Address To The Nation. Note that he said that he met with the leaders of some of the country’s top manufacturing companies and labour unions. No mention of the world’s top leaders. He is consistent with his priorities.

Bits and Pieces: Here’s an opinion piece analyzing Obama’s term in office: Obama Bequeaths a More Dangerous World. It is partially sympathetic while identifying the forces working around him and against him.

Apparently legislation exists that would undo many of Obama’s executive orders. This is an interesting read: CRA: The “Regulatory Game Changer” That Could Wipe Out 8 Years Of Obama Regs In An Hour.

The leading university in snowflake protection has more to offer: Ohio State Offers Class On How To Detect Microaggressions And Be “Self-Aware Of White Privilege”. Can you imagine what the next generation will be like?

My wife and I were discussing the irony how shopping malls on the outskirts of small town North America hollowed out the downtown cores of the towns. As we walked around our neighbourhood mall today and noted new store closures (month end is approaching and likely the end of leases) adding to a number that have closed months ago. On-line retailing is hollowing out the cores of malls. The big store brands like Sears Holding, Macy’s, J.C. Penny and others are in deep trouble. Several are already in chapter 11 and history. The question to ponder is will Amazon take over the retail world? And while you’re thinking about it, consider this: Amazon Enters Trillion Dollar Ocean Freight Business: How Many Jobs Will Vanish?

Without comment because I can’t think of anything civil: Trudeau, Sturgeon Respond To Refugee Ban: “Welcome To Those Fleeing Persecution, Terror And War”.

Bits and Pieces – 20170126, Thursday

Commentary: The next time someone you know complains that Hillary won the popular vote and should be president, show them this map (red is a Republican majority and blue is Democrat):

Bits and Pieces – 20170124, Tuesday

Commentary: If Trump achieves half or maybe a quarter of what he wants to he will go down as a “great” American president. I suspect a significant piece of what he would want is impossible, not because of political obstacles but because some things will not be possible.

A lot of jobs that went offshore don’t exist anymore and can’t come back. Companies on-shoring will build new plants populated with robots and highly automated assembly lines. They would have done so anyway for economic reasons and this trend had started before Trump.

His trade policies may backfire. Raising tax barriers and tariff walls will start trade wars – may already have done so – so the imports will be cut but so will the exports. How this will affect the balance of trade is a question. In fact the trade deficits were the only way the US dollar could become the world reserve currency. Trump cannot control the currency – at least not for long. Any attempt to declare China a currency manipulator will lead to the depreciation of the yuan and strengthen the dollar, affecting exports and negating the effect of tariffs on imports.

He has a deeply divided country and he can’t fix this because the divide is to a large part caused by people who hate him and this he can’t change. Read: Trump: America for the Americans! He has inherited trillion dollar deficits and a 20 trillion dollar debt that goes as high as 200 trillion with unfunded liabilities included. The only fix for this is to press the reset button and the reset will be global.

This is going to be a wild ride.

Bits and Pieces – 20170117, Tuesday

Commentary: From one of my favourite writers, an interesting piece on what the reactionary forces might do leading up to and into the inauguration: The Cheeto Cometh. The really interesting thought I found is that the next civil war has already begun.

We tend to think of major events as having clear start and stop points such as Pearl Harbor marking the start of WWII for the US. In actual fact, the US at that time had already enacted an oil embargo on Japan which might be said to have required Pearl Harbor as a defensive measure by Japan to the embargo which in turn may be understood as an act of war by the US.

Having said this, I just read a piece by George Friedman and Jacob Shapiro in which they state that their horizon for geopolitical analysis is independent of calendars and as such, specific events: Europe: The Process of Change Continues.

We are linear deterministic thinkers in a world where all action is individually determined and collectively emergent. So there is a continuum in any conflict among the protagonists in which specific points are purely arbitrary. We create such points to enable our (linear) thinking and discourse but in so choosing them, we lose the perspective of the true nature of the conflict. It also ensures our responses will not be optimal and may be very bad.

The conflict among the various political constituencies (I’m not talking Republican/Democrat) has become so polarized that an argument may be made that a civil war is in progress, has been for several generations, but has not yet entered a hot or kinetic phase. This is something to be feared.

I have been including links to speculation on a Trump assassination. It could, however be larger as: Putin Warns Of “Maidan-Style” Attempt To Delegitimize Trump; Doesn’t Believe Trump Used Hookers In Moscow. For those of you not recognizing the reference, “Maidan” refers to the events in the 2014 Ukrainian revolution during which it is alleged that right-wing extremist groups, supported by the State Department and the CIA, violently overthrew the elected government in a coup – classic CIA playbook activity.

Bits and Pieces – 20170116, Monday

Commentary: I’ve always said that two statements determine if a speaker is a Canadian. These are: “It’s my right …” and “It’s not fair …”. Scott Adams today adds his genius:
Dilbert Comic Strip for 2017-01-14

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