Tag Archives: global cooling

Bits and Pieces – 20180107, Sunday

Commentary: I generally avoid “the best … of 2017” of which there are a plethora. I also am careful about “what will happen in 2017”. After all, articles of this type are simply based on someone’s opinion. Here, however, are a couple you may not have seen:

Bits and Pieces – 20171229, Friday

Commentary: Closing off 2017. War has not broken out either in North Korea or the Middle East. However, the issues in these two areas remain unresolved. Iran seems to be the likely flash point.

I’ve been following the global cooling issue coincidentally with the grand solar minimum (GSM) and am convinced that it will be the most important event of the next decade next to a global war and a global economic collapse. In fact the three events have strong co-dependencies.

I am now publishing Bits and Pieces 3 or 4 times a month. This will continue but my focus is shifting to the GSM and its implications.

Bits and Pieces – 20171215, Friday

WWIII: The following article provides a summary of the multinational military activity in the wars in Iraq and Syria. The accuracy of the numbers may be questioned but the key point is that this is a global war. It is notable that Canada’s role has been omitted: World War in Syria and Iraq (MAP).

Bits and Pieces – 20170610 – Saturday

Commentary: Trump is right about NATO: the Europeans, particularly the Germans have been riding on Uncle Sam’s coattails. Britain and Russia have one thing in common, their major wars over the last 2 or 3 hundred years have been with the French and the Germans. Merkel’s EU has been playing hardball over Brexit. Britain should form closer ties with Russia and leave NATO since their adversary is the EU, meaning France and Germany.

Here’s an interesting prediction. I follow the site King World News. Reading past Eric Kings habit of being stuck in the superlative mode of everything, he interviews a few people that I consider reliable. One is Andrew Maguire of whom he published a most recent post on June 9. Maguire states that in exactly 26 days from “today”, a dramatic event will take place in the metals market repricing gold higher. The problem is King doesn’t explicitly state when the interview occurred so “today” remains a bit elusive.

If we use the 9th as “today”, 26 days puts the event on July 5, the day after independence day which falls on a Tuesday. Traditionally, trading falls off during the summer (hence “sell in May and go away”). This year, many traders will also take the Monday off with markets closed on Tuesday. If one wanted to make a move when traders were thin, one might choose the 3rd or the 4th. On the other hand, one might want to schedule a move for the 5th to catch markets as the open and take advantage of the market response on a full trading day. It also might be that the call is bad and nothing happens.

I will bet on a good call although my move a few days before makes things a bit tricky. Here’s the interview: ALERT: Unknown Entity Deletes Portion Of Whistleblower Andrew Maguire’s KWN Audio Interview About A Major Event In 26 Days. If you want to place a bet it should be in by June 30.

Flash Point: Hot It’s Not – Get Your Bias Right

We have written many articles under the Climate category on this site that deal with the “global warming” issue and climate temperature. The IPCC and AGW adherents have been confounded by the fact that temperatures have not risen since 1998 (their grudging admission). They have been working overtime (read: Excuse #52 for ‘the pause’ in global warming – natural climate variability as secular trends) to explain this “hiatus” as a pause in a trend towards planetary ignition due to anthropogenic CO2 in the atmosphere.

Today we became aware of an academic paper by Dr. Ross McKitrick, an economist and statistician specializing in environmental science, titled HAC-Robust Measurement of the Duration of a Trendless Subsample in a Global Climate Time Series. (McKitrick, R. (2014) HAC-Robust Measurement of the Duration of a Trendless Subsample in a Global Climate Time Series. Open Journal of Statistics, 4, 527-535. doi: 10.4236/ojs.2014.47050.) From the abstract (emphasis ours):

The IPCC has drawn attention to an apparent leveling-off of globally-averaged temperatures over the past 15 years or so. Measuring the duration of the hiatus … Application of the method [described in the abstract but technically complex] shows that there is now a trendless interval of 19 years duration at the end of the HadCRUT4 surface temperature series, and of 16 – 26 years in the lower troposphere.

In other words, temperatures have not increased at the planet’s surface for the last 19 years (since 1995). In the lowest layer of the atmosphere (the troposphere) the “hiatus” – the term widely used to identify this period – may extend to 26 years.

Is Friday November 22, 2013 Really Friday the 13th?

A Black Swan Worth Monitoring

We received the following link to a BBC article from our friend and contributor Dr. Paul Merkley: Esa’s satellite Swarm launch to map Earth’s magnetism. Within what might be a ho-hum article we found the following information (emphasis ours):

The strength [of the Earth’s field] has fallen by some 15% in the past two centuries. The movement of the north geomagnetic pole has also accelerated.

Researchers have speculated that Earth may be on the cusp of a polarity reversal, which would see the direction of the field flip end to end. North would become south, and vice versa.

This has not happened for 780,000 years, but the phenomenon has nonetheless been a regular occurrence through geological time.

The mission’s lead proposer, Prof Eigil Friis-Christensen, said:

You could say we’re overdue, …

We talk about the weakening of the global field but in some local areas, such as in the South Atlantic, the field has gone down 10% in just the last 20 years. But we do not know whether we will go into a reversal or whether the global field will recover …

No timeline was suggested and the speed with which a reversal could occur is unknown. So be a good Boy Scout – Be Prepared – just don’t ask us how.

Updating Our Position on CO2 and Global Warming

Discussion is making the rounds about a paper published by SABER, an entity within NASA that collects and analyses data on the upper atmosphere (the mesosphere and the troposphere). SABER recorded a solar storm in March 2012 and reported it in a news item: Solar Storm Dumps Gigawatts into Earth’s Upper Atmosphere. Unlike the bulk of SABER’s publications (freely available online) which are highly complex science and unreadable by the layman, the news report offers valuable insight into the role of greenhouse gases in cooling the upper atmosphere.

The report notes:

“Carbon dioxide and nitric oxide are natural thermostats,” explains James Russell of Hampton University, SABER’s principal investigator.  “When the upper atmosphere (or ‘thermosphere’) heats up, these molecules try as hard as they can to shed that heat back into space.”

For the three day period, March 8th through 10th, the thermosphere absorbed 26 billion kWh of energy.  Infrared radiation from CO2 and NO, the two most efficient coolants in the thermosphere, re-radiated 95% of that total back into space.

We see that CO2 plays an essential role in protecting the planet from overheating caused by solar radiation. The data cannot be used to infer global surface temperature cooling caused by CO2 because the total dynamics of the entire atmosphere are complex and SABER only deals with part of the picture.

That being said, global (surface) temperatures have been static for about the last 15 years. The site C3 Headlines has a collection of temperature graphs from a wide array of sources that demonstrates this fact. Even James Hanson, one of the most prominent anthropogenic global warming (AGW) proponents admits this in a paper titled Global Temperature Update Through 2012 (we hope to discuss Hanson’s paper in another post). The importance of this observation is that global CO2 emissions have continued to rise during this period (see: Global Temperature and CO2 Update – December 2012). One must consider the question if the CO2 in the atmosphere is forcing up the temperature, why has the rise stopped?

 

Powered by WordPress | Designed by: photography charlottesville va | Thanks to ppc software, penny auction and larry goins