Tag Archives: structural unemployment

Bits and Pieces – 20170502, Tuesday

Commentary: I’ve been struggling for a while with the problem of how to organize information. To capture one idea, that of “memes“, I include this short post: The ‘Taxation Is Theft’ Meme Has Officially Gone Mainstream.

The scientific method is simple: a) form a hypothesis; b) survey the literature on the topic, and; c) construct experiments to prove or disprove the hypothesis. At the masters level of graduate work, the object is to complete step “b” – master a subject or topic. At the doctoral level, the object is to complete step “c” after “a” and “b”. This is a very focused and narrow task.
Several times I have believed something to be true, formulated it as a hypothesis and begun to research the topic only to find that the hypothesis is false. But having hypotheses is valuable because they focus inquiry, reading and effort. As we read, we either find supporting evidence to strengthen and deepen our hypotheses or we find dissenting evidence that leads us to the conclusion our hypotheses are wrong.

I would extend the idea of a hypothesis into a larger concept I will call a theme. A theme  is more of a topic of interest than a fixed and limited proposition. As long as it remains open or active, there is a constant evaluation of information relevant to the theme with an assessment of how it affects the current body of knowledge comprising the theme. There is an immense amount of information available to us with a few keystrokes. It becomes important to have themes or other structures to act as filters in two ways.

Bits and Pieces – 20170402, Sunday

Commentary: I think this will be a weekly blog post from here on. Sunday makes a good wrap. Either the number of articles that I wish to present to you has declined in occurrence or I have simply absorbed them as I reported them and they no longer appear important enough to bring to your attention.

As an example, the Russian hacking scandal when it broke was big news. Now that it has been thoroughly debunked, the bits of news that still trickle out demonstrate little more than the desperation of the powers that want to dump Trump. As an example, as reported today, Tuesday, the tables of linking Trump and his advisors are being turned on the Democrat camp: Here’s The Story Behind Trump’s Podesta-Russia Tweet. Interesting but not ground-breaking news.

As you may know, I am collecting crises. More properly, I am trying to identify systems that are near their critical point. In such a system, when the critical point is reached, the smallest related event may trigger a systemic realignment and release of potential energy or tension. Charles-Hugh Smith, a prolific thinker and writer talks about these systems or crises: The Overlapping Crises Are Coming, Regardless Of Who’s In Power. If you can think of any, please let me know

Bits and Pieces – 20170320, Monday

Commentary: We sold our house late last week and have been preoccupied with related issues. Life is now returning to normal whatever that is.

I have voiced a concern about the structural unemployment coming due to robotics, auto,ation and artificial intelligence (RAAI). Today I publish links to articles on the psychological and sociological, particularly on men. Also, by now you understand that although these are often treated as vertical issues explored by linear deterministic thinking and models, the reality is that these are aspects of a deeply complex system.

Bits and Pieces – 20170310, Friday

Commentary: Perhaps the most important article for Canadian readers today is a ZeroHedge report on new data from the BIS (Bank of International Settlements – sometimes called the central bankers bank because it acts as a global banking watchdog): Whose Banks Are Riskiest: A Surprising Answer From The BIS. The Canadian banks deny any risk as does the government. However, not believing either institutions, I am mapping out a defensive strategy which I will publish at a later date.

This article is a short summary of what I have been saying about jobs: If You Think Your Job Is One That Cannot Be Automated, You’re In For A Rude Awakening. The 5-10 year time-frame for this to unfold is the time-frame for the point of no return for the collapse of Western civilization. The 15 minute video in it I embed below. It is extremely well produced and is comprehensive in its coverage:

The key point in this video is that of the horses. Hint: we didn’t need all the horses of the pre-auto age AND WE DON’T HAVE THEM TODAY.

Civil Unrest: Here is an articles discussing civil war in the US: Is The Left Trying To Start A Civil War?

I realized today that the disregard for the democratic process in the US by those who refuse to accept the outcome and are actively working to reverse the result in a soft coup – to overthrow Trump – are really seeking a totalitarian form of government that embodies their ideologies.

Cyber Warfare: More commentary on the cyber warfare being waged by the CIA on … uh, anyone and everyone apparently: CIA’s Dirty Cyber Tricks Exposed: “UMBRAGE” & Potential False Flag Attacks” and The most shocking revelation from the CIA spying scandal. And I thought all the viruses and Trojans I have dealt with over the year came from bored high school kids working out of their parents’ basements or Russian mob technicians: WikiLeaks Holds Press Conference On CIA Hacking, Will Share Hacking Tools With Tech Firms.

As a result of the revelation of the UMBRAGE project the CIA, the CIA cannot credibly identify a hack or intrusion as Russian in source.

Bits and Pieces – 20170224, Friday

Commentary: I had come to the point of thinking that writing and presenting factual material had little value other than to myself – which is why I continue to do so. In conversations with people I had noticed that when presented with facts contrary to their position they seemed to back off but fail to change their position. Here’s support for that observation: Why Facts Don’t Change Our Minds. To note: “Once formed, impressions are remarkably perseverant.” This points to our early life as the formative stage for many of our narratives about the world. It also shows the danger the school system poses when it strays beyond the 3 Rs.

The writer notes “People believe that they know way more than they actually do. What allows us to persist in this belief is other people.” This is due to the sociability nature of our species. The application of this principle to current events (Trump) is enlightening since”as a rule, strong feelings about issues do not emerge from deep understanding,” but from what we hear from friends and read in the MSM, particularly if it reinforces what we already believe we know (confirmation bias).

Flash Point: It’s Structural

We have long argued that the problems of employment in the US are structural, not cyclical (Flash Point: Why High Unemployment Is Structural, Signs of a Structural Change in the US Economy, The Hole in Jackson Hole, What’s the Future for Jobs?). Today, Mike Shedlock adds his perspective on the argument: No Progress for Long-Term Unemployed; Ten Reasons the Problem is Structural.

Further, while the US is in a very tepid cyclical recovery, certainly the worst since World War II, the changes in the employment situation are also very tepid with changes in the structure of the job market to a part-time economy the most troubling aspect. Expect a similar argument for Canada.

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