{"id":9180,"date":"2026-05-19T16:33:32","date_gmt":"2026-05-19T16:33:32","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/thepoog.com\/wp\/?p=9180"},"modified":"2026-05-19T16:36:01","modified_gmt":"2026-05-19T16:36:01","slug":"andrew-korybko-south-korea-will-remain-a-key-part-of-the-us-chinese-containment-plans-2","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/thepoog.com\/wp\/2026\/05\/19\/andrew-korybko-south-korea-will-remain-a-key-part-of-the-us-chinese-containment-plans-2\/","title":{"rendered":"Andrew Korybko: Germany\u2019s Military Patronage Of Ukraine Is A Crucial Part Of Its Grand Strategy"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><a href=\"https:\/\/korybko.substack.com\/p\/germanys-military-patronage-of-ukraine\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Germany\u2019s Military Patronage Of Ukraine Is A Crucial Part Of Its Grand Strategy<\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/substack.com\/@korybko\"><\/a><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><a href=\"https:\/\/substack.com\/@korybko\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Andrew Korybko<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">May 19, 2026<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><a class=\"image-link image2 is-viewable-img can-restack\" href=\"https:\/\/substackcdn.com\/image\/fetch\/$s_!oboA!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep\/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F78e4a701-e450-4b4b-a327-8b3e5e539c86_800x600.jpeg\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/substackcdn.com\/image\/fetch\/$s_!oboA!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep\/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F78e4a701-e450-4b4b-a327-8b3e5e539c86_800x600.jpeg\" alt=\"\"\/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Taking the lead in containing Russia in Europe on the US\u2019 behalf is the prerequisite for rebuilding \u201cFortress Europe\u201d and thus becoming the continent\u2019s hegemon without firing a shot.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">German Defense Minister Boris Pistorius announced during his recent visit to Kiev that their countries will jointly <a href=\"https:\/\/mod.gov.ua\/en\/news\/ukraine-and-germany-launch-brave-germany-a-joint-programme-for-defence-technology-development\">develop \u201cdeep strike\u201d capabilities<\/a>. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.rt.com\/news\/639870-berlin-kiev-develop-deep-strike\/\">RT\u2019s article<\/a> about this major move reminded readers that \u201cBerlin has emerged as Kiev\u2019s largest single military donor after the US switched from donating weapons directly to Ukraine to selling it to Kiev\u2019s other NATO backers which hand them over. Germany spent around \u20ac20 billion ($23.5 billion) on weapons for Ukraine from January 2022 to February 2026\u201d.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Germany\u2019s military patronage of Ukraine is a crucial part of its grand strategy and has been in the making since summer 2023. In brief, former Chancellor Olaf Scholz\u2019s hegemonic manifesto from December 2022 made clear his country\u2019s ambitions to recreate what\u2019s been described elsewhere as \u201cFortress Europe\u201d in current geopolitical conditions. This necessitates building the largest army in Europe, which it\u2019s in the process of doing, and exerting military influence over Ukraine to threaten Russia.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">From the perspective of Germany\u2019s permanent military, intelligence, and diplomatic bureaucracies, their country now bears \u201c<a href=\"https:\/\/www.bmvg.de\/resource\/blob\/6093766\/01b1718498c25db9010ea13724d7a37a\/dl-gesamtkonzeption-der-militaerischen-download-deu-data.pdf\">responsibility for Europe<\/a>\u201d per the title of its <a href=\"https:\/\/archive.is\/qYz6A\">first-ever postwar military strategy<\/a> from late April. Its publication was followed by influential Under Secretary of War for Policy Elbridge Colby, considered to be the military-strategic brain behind Trump 2.0, <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/USWPColby\/status\/2047815123654361354\">praising<\/a> Germany for \u201ctaking the leading role\u201d in the transformation to \u201c<a href=\"https:\/\/korybko.substack.com\/p\/the-us-demanded-that-the-europeans\">NATO 3.0<\/a>\u201d. Here are 15 background briefings from the past four years:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">* 20 July 2022: \u201c<a href=\"https:\/\/korybko.substack.com\/p\/germanys-century-long-plot-to-capture\">Germany\u2019s Century-Long Plot To Capture Control Of Europe Is Almost Complete<\/a>\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">* 7 December 2022: \u201c<a href=\"https:\/\/korybko.substack.com\/p\/olaf-scholzs-manifesto-for-foreign\">Olaf Scholz\u2019s Manifesto For Foreign Affairs Magazine Confirms Germany\u2019s Hegemonic Ambitions<\/a>\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">* 25 April 2023: \u201c<a href=\"https:\/\/korybko.substack.com\/p\/germanys-new-anti-russian-role-is\">Germany\u2019s New Anti-Russian Role Is Partially Due To Its Regional Competition With Poland<\/a>\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">* 27 April 2023: \u201c<a href=\"https:\/\/korybko.substack.com\/p\/russia-needs-to-once-again-brace\">Russia Needs To Once Again Brace Itself For A Prolonged Rivalry With Germany<\/a>\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">* 16 August 2023: \u201c<a href=\"https:\/\/korybko.substack.com\/p\/germanys-promised-military-patronage\">Germany\u2019s Promised Military Patronage Of Ukraine Ramps Up Its Regional Competition With Poland<\/a>\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">* 23 September 2023: \u201c<a href=\"https:\/\/korybko.substack.com\/p\/poland-hinted-that-germany-is-to\">Poland Hinted That Germany Is To Blame For Its Dispute With Ukraine<\/a>\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">* 2 October 2023: \u201c<a href=\"https:\/\/korybko.substack.com\/p\/morawiecki-suspects-that-zelensky\">Morawiecki Suspects That Zelensky Struck A Deal With Germany Behind Poland\u2019s Back<\/a>\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">* 24 November 2023: \u201c<a href=\"https:\/\/korybko.substack.com\/p\/natos-proposed-military-schengen\">NATO\u2019s Proposed \u2018Military Schengen\u2019 Is A Thinly Disguised German Power Play Over Poland<\/a>\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">* 19 January 2024: \u201c<a href=\"https:\/\/korybko.substack.com\/p\/germany-is-rebuilding-fortress-europe\">Germany Is Rebuilding \u2018Fortress Europe\u2019 To Assist The US\u2019 \u2018Pivot (Back) To Asia\u2019<\/a>\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">* 19 March 2024: \u201c<a href=\"https:\/\/korybko.substack.com\/p\/poland-is-poised-to-play-an-important\">Poland Is Poised To Play An Indispensable Role In Germany\u2019s \u2018Fortress Europe\u2019<\/a>\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">* 5 July 2024: \u201c<a href=\"https:\/\/korybko.substack.com\/p\/germany-is-preparing-to-assume-partial\">Germany Is Preparing To Assume Partial Responsibility For Poland\u2019s Eastern Border Security<\/a>\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">* 25 April 2025: \u201c<a href=\"https:\/\/korybko.substack.com\/p\/evaluating-foreign-affairs-warning\">Evaluating Foreign Affairs\u2019 Warning About The Risks Of An Emboldened &amp; Remilitarized Germany<\/a>\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">* 7 January 2026: \u201c<a href=\"https:\/\/korybko.substack.com\/p\/germany-is-competing-with-poland\">Germany Is Competing With Poland To Lead Russia\u2019s Containment<\/a>\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">* 8 May 2026: \u201c<a href=\"https:\/\/korybko.substack.com\/p\/reviewing-medvedevs-article-about\">Reviewing Medvedev\u2019s Article About Germany\u2019s Remilitarization<\/a>\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">* 12 May 2026: \u201c<a href=\"https:\/\/korybko.substack.com\/p\/why-might-germany-replace-the-us\">Why Might Germany Replace The US As Russia\u2019s Perceived Top Adversary?<\/a>\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">What they demonstrate is that Germany immediately began moving in this direction, and particularly as regards its military patronage of Ukraine in a power flex vis-\u00e0-vis <a href=\"https:\/\/korybko.substack.com\/p\/the-afds-co-leader-declared-that\">historic<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/korybko.substack.com\/p\/germany-poses-a-significant-non-military\">rival<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/korybko.substack.com\/p\/whats-russias-best-move-amidst-the\">Poland<\/a>, after Scholz\u2019s \u201c<a href=\"https:\/\/www.bundesregierung.de\/breg-en\/service\/archive\/policy-statement-by-olaf-scholz-chancellor-of-the-federal-republic-of-germany-and-member-of-the-german-bundestag-27-february-2022-in-berlin-2008378\">Zeitenwende speech<\/a>\u201d that he gave in late February 2022 shortly after the <a href=\"https:\/\/korybko.substack.com\/p\/korybko-to-azerbaijani-media-all\">special<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/korybko.substack.com\/p\/20-constructive-critiques-about-russias\">operation<\/a> began. Without elbowing Poland out of Ukraine, which their latest \u201cdeep strike\u201d pact proves has already happened in the military-strategic sense, Germany wouldn\u2019t be able to rebuild \u201cFortress Europe\u201d.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">To be sure, Poland hasn\u2019t abandoned its plans to <a href=\"https:\/\/thealtworld.com\/andrew_korybko\/september-2025-was-the-most-eventful-month-for-poland-since-the-end-of-communism\">restore its lost Great Power status<\/a> and at least re-establish its sphere of influence <a href=\"https:\/\/korybko.substack.com\/p\/poland-is-expanding-its-influence\">over the Baltic States<\/a>, and the <a href=\"https:\/\/korybko.substack.com\/p\/trump-might-hand-polands-conservative\">potential return<\/a> of German-skeptic conservative control over parliament after fall 2027\u2019s next elections could intensify their rivalry. Nevertheless, with German-friendly liberals in power till then with the exception of the presidency, Poland is expected to fall further behind Germany in their struggle for military influence over Ukraine.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The only ways in which this scenario is offset are if Russia removes all foreign military influence over Ukraine or the US decides to restore its own there that it ceded to Germany ahead of reprioritizing the Western Hemisphere and Indo-Pacific per the <a href=\"https:\/\/thealtworld.com\/andrew_korybko\/the-us-new-national-security-strategy-details-how-trump-2-0-will-respond-to-multipolarity\">National Defense Strategy<\/a>. If Germany solidifies its military influence over Ukraine, especially if Poland\u2019s ruling liberals succeed in fully subordinating it to Germany, then \u201cFortress Europe\u201d will be built and Germany will become Europe\u2019s hegemon without firing a shot.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center wp-block-paragraph\">***<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">If you liked this post, consider subscribing \u2013 in right-hand sidebar \u2013 if you are not a subscriber already. Please forward it to anyone else you might think will benefit from it. We are at a critical point in time where we need to disseminate truth to those who have ears to hear, and be forming communities of like-minded individuals. If you want to discuss an idea or issue, contact me \u2013 see <a href=\"https:\/\/thepoog.com\/wp\/home\/contact\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Contacts<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-buttons is-content-justification-right is-layout-flex wp-container-core-buttons-is-layout-b507c051 wp-block-buttons-is-layout-flex\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-button\"><a class=\"wp-block-button__link wp-element-button\">Back to Top<\/a><\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Germany\u2019s Military Patronage Of Ukraine Is A Crucial Part Of Its Grand Strategy Andrew Korybko May 19, 2026 Taking the lead in containing Russia in Europe on the US\u2019 behalf is the prerequisite for rebuilding \u201cFortress Europe\u201d and thus becoming the continent\u2019s hegemon without firing a shot. German Defense Minister [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[665],"class_list":["post-9180","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized","tag-andrew-korybko"],"post_mailing_queue_ids":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepoog.com\/wp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9180","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepoog.com\/wp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepoog.com\/wp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepoog.com\/wp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepoog.com\/wp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=9180"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/thepoog.com\/wp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9180\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":9183,"href":"https:\/\/thepoog.com\/wp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9180\/revisions\/9183"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepoog.com\/wp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=9180"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepoog.com\/wp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=9180"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepoog.com\/wp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=9180"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}