Contrary to what authorities would have you believe, the data is showing worldwide, that people who are vaccinated either partially or fully, may be as likely or more so to become infected with SARS-CoV-2 than the unvaccinated.

The CDC Report on the July 2021 Barnstable Outbreak

In July 2021, there was a COVID-19 outbreak in a town in Barnstable County, Massachusetts, following multiple large public events. Of the resulting identified 469 cases, 74% were fully vaccinated. The remaining 26% were either unvaccinated, partially vaccinated or had vaccination status unknown. This means that the unvaccinated formed less than 26% of the cases and possibly considerably less. The results are shown in Figure 1.

Figure 1. SARS-CoV-2 infections (N = 469) associated with large public gatherings, by date of specimen collection and vaccination status — Barnstable County, Massachusetts, July 2021.

The report also used the cycle threshold (Ct) from real-time (RT) PCR tests to do a comparative viral load study shown in Figure 2.

Figure 2. RT-PCR test cycle threshold values for the Barnstable patients.

The interpretation of Figure 2 is that a lower Ct number corresponds to a higher viral load. In this case, the vaccinated had one or more representatives with a viral load higher than the unvaccinated worst case, keeping in mind that the first bar in the chart is not just unvaccinated as the chart notes.

A final comment on hospitalizations is that the vaccinated formed 4 out of 5 cases or 80%. There were no deaths reported.

Analysis of Current British Data

Public Health England has sequenced over 390,000 samples of all SARS-CoV-2 variants (PHE technical briefing Table 3[2]). Figure 3 below shows the breakdown of cases with the delta variant and their vaccination status. “Unlinked” cases in the table are cases without specimen dates or samples that could not be matched to individuals. Therefore, we will use the last four columns of data as our sample space.

Fully or partially vaccinated (for longer than 28 days allowing for full vaccine immune response) people comprise 43.7% of all cases. However, this same cohort comprises 65.5% of the total deaths in our sample space. Finally, the vaccinated comprise 42% of the overnight hospital stays.

Figure 3. Table 5 from the August 06, 2021 PHE technical briefing note #20[2].

The data shows that the vaccinated still impose a large burden on the healthcare system. They also present a large risk to unvaccinated people. What should be of more concern, however, is their greater risk of dying, at almost twice that of unvaccinated people.

Reports from Other Countries

For this we must rely on reports from what are hoped to be credible sources.

Echoing the British data, the Wall Street Journal[3] reports that:

About half of adults infected in an outbreak of the Delta variant of Covid-19 in Israel were fully inoculated with the Pfizer Inc. vaccine …

WSJ (2020)[3]

Without providing numbers, the Mercury Times{4} in California reported that:

analysis shows not only are cases rising fast in much of the Golden State, they are soaring in many urban counties that boast high vaccination rates.

The five counties with falling case rates — Modoc, Glenn, Lassen, Del Norte, San Benito — have below-average vaccination rates.

Mercury Times {4}

Chile is a country with a high vaccination level that recently has seen a surge in infections[5]. One item of note is that they are using a Chinese vaccine. We are not implying that the vaccine is any more problematic than the ones used in the West but that it is a notable difference making comparison more difficult. There is no data available that I could find to perform an analysis to base a firm conclusion on.

Comments

COVID-19 is more a political and financial disease than a medical one. While it has severe side effects for some, the general epidemiology has been comparable with some recent flu outbreaks. Because of the agendas at work, every effort was made to achieve a high rate of case fatality reporting and hospitalization resource loading.

On the other side of this is the effort to under-report vaccine injury and death in order to not threaten goals of total vaccination. This is a political and economic goal but has no real medical basis.

The data that we have does show that the vaccinated pose approximately the same risk for spreading the disease as the unvaccinated. The British data shows that the vaccinated have about twice the risk of dying from the disease as the unvaccinated. More efficacious approaches to managing COVID-19 exist but are being suppressed. That’s another story.

I’ll leave the final word to Dr. Paul Craig Roberts: The “COVID Pandemic” Is a Money-making Hoax and Perhaps Serves Darker Agendas.

References

  1. Brown CM, Vostok J, Johnson H, et al. Outbreak of SARS-CoV-2 Infections, Including COVID-19 Vaccine Breakthrough Infections, Associated with Large Public Gatherings — Barnstable County, Massachusetts, July 2021. MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep 2021;70:1059-1062. DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.15585/mmwr.mm7031e2external icon. PDF.
  2. SARS-CoV-2 variants of concern and variants under investigation in England: technical briefing 20. PHE. August 06, 2021. PDF.
  3. Lieber D. Delta Variant Outbreak in Israel Infects Some Vaccinated Adults. WSJ. June 25, 2021.
  4. Woolfolk J. COVID spreading fast in well-vaccinated California counties. The Mercury News. July 24, 2021.
  5. Meredith S. Chile has one of the world’s best vaccination rates. Covid is surging there anyway. CNBC. April 19, 2021.

The POOG

I started a blog in 2011 called The POOG, an acronym for "pissed off old guy". This is the current incarnation.

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